BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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South Florida

Class: 1A Class Rank: 96 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength =  149.48

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2019 Home    L   133.91   0  49   1A   6 ( 10-  4) Wisconsin             -14.27 *  -34.73                      
  2 09/07/2019 Away    L   140.73  10  14   1A 114 (  3-  9) Georgia Tech           -7.45      3.45                      
  3 09/14/2019 Home    W   164.76  55  16   1B  59 (  8-  3) South Carolina St      16.58     22.42                      
  4 09/28/2019 Home    L * 134.79  21  48   1A  41 ( 10-  3) SMU                   -13.39    -13.61                      
  5 10/05/2019 Away    W * 157.67  48  22   1A 126 (  2- 10) Connecticut             9.49     16.51                      
  6 10/12/2019 Home    W   158.19  27  23   1A  63 (  7-  6) Brigham Young          10.01     -6.01                      
  7 10/19/2019 Away    L * 140.42   3  35   1A  24 ( 11-  2) Navy                   -7.77    -24.23                      
  8 10/26/2019 Away    W * 168.95  45  20   1A 118 (  4-  8) East Carolina          20.77      4.23                      
  9 11/07/2019 Home    L * 140.42   7  17   1A  82 (  8-  5) Temple                 -7.76     -2.24                      
 10 11/16/2019 Home    L * 161.84  17  20   1A  31 ( 11-  3) Cincinnati             13.66    -16.66                      
 11 11/23/2019 Home    L * 129.90  10  49   1A  21 ( 12-  2) Memphis               -18.28    -20.72                      
 12 11/29/2019 Away    L * 146.60   7  34   1A  19 ( 10-  3) Central Florida        -1.58    -25.42                      
      Averages             148.18  20.8 28.9

Best game:  168.95 = 25 point win over East Carolina
Worst game: 129.90 = 39 point loss to Memphis
Team stdev:  13.41